Short-term power forecasting model based on GWO-LSTM network

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract In view of the time-series characteristics grid load data, this paper proposes a method to predict electricity demand by optimizing long-and short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model using grey wolf optimization algorithm, taking into account effects time, weather conditions and holiday on loads. The overcomes disadvantage that backpropagation through time algorithm tends converge local optimum. experimental results show prediction outperform those traditional LSTM for loads, providing reference direction future forecasting models.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

mortality forecasting based on lee-carter model

over the past decades a number of approaches have been applied for forecasting mortality. in 1992, a new method for long-run forecast of the level and age pattern of mortality was published by lee and carter. this method was welcomed by many authors so it was extended through a wider class of generalized, parametric and nonlinear model. this model represents one of the most influential recent d...

15 صفحه اول

Neural Network Ensemble-Based Solar Power Generation Short-Term Forecasting

This paper presents the applicability of artificial neural networks for 24 hour ahead solar power generation forecasting of a 20 kW photovoltaic system, the developed forecasting is suitable for a reliable Microgrid energy management. In total four neural networks were proposed, namely: multi-layred perceptron, radial basis function, recurrent and a neural network ensemble consisting in ensembl...

متن کامل

Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Model based on ICA-BP Neural Network

It’s of great significance for wind power integration into grid to forecast wind power. Based on forecasting wind power by BP neural network, the article introduces global optimization algorithm, Imperialist Competitive Algorithm (ICA) to provide optimized initial weights of BP neural network. Thus, it can overcome the entrapment in local optical optimum of BP neural network. Compared with BP n...

متن کامل

Short and Mid-Term Wind Power Plants Forecasting With ANN

In recent years, wind energy has a remarkable growth in the world, but one of the important problems of power generated from wind is its uncertainty and corresponding power. For solving this problem, some approaches have been presented. Recently, the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as a heuristic method has more applications for this propose. In this paper, short-term (1 hour) and mid-term (24...

متن کامل

Short and Mid-Term Wind Power Plants Forecasting With ANN

In recent years, wind energy has a remarkable growth in the world, but one of the important problems of power generated from wind is its uncertainty and corresponding power. For solving this problem, some approaches have been presented. Recently, the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as a heuristic method has more applications for this propose. In this paper, short-term (1 hour) and mid-term (24...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of physics

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['0022-3700', '1747-3721', '0368-3508', '1747-3713']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2503/1/012039